Canonical List of Reasons to Start or Defer Social Security
By Alan Silverstein, Fort Collins, Colorado.
Email me at ajs@frii.com.
Last updated December 29, 2024
When should you start your retirement or similar Social Security benefit
payments? First a very brief summary of considerations:
- Do you need it now? Do you want it now?
- What are you trying to optimize?
Personal/family total money received,
investment strategy,
taxes paid,
longevity insurance,
legacy for heirs, etc?
- Are you eager to just start sooner and be done thinking about it?
Discussion and longer list:
Once eligible for SS (Social Security) benefits (in the USA), in many
common cases (retirement, spousal, ex-spousal, and survivor) you can
start (take it) sooner, but at a discounted rate for life, or
defer (wait for) benefits, to receive a higher monthly payout for
life. The usual range for starting SS retirement benefits is ages
62-70; other benefits vary. (Many pensions/annuities also have this
feature, but with different age ranges and discount rates.)
There are a remarkable number of valid reasons both for starting
sooner and for deferring.
-
I've seen many articles or essays that argue one way or the other, and
which focus on just a subset supporting their point of view.
-
I've also seen writeups listing arguments both ways, aimed at helping
you decide, but they don't seem concise or comprehensive.
(Here is one decent article,
if you can view it and while it lasts, that says the decision hinges
on "psychological ownership" and loss aversion, both of which lead to
unwise early claiming.)
-
Your own decision depends on your personal value factors --
which can change over time, including initially deferring, but then
starting sooner than planned.
Here is a hopefully comprehensive list of all the reasons that I
could locate (and tease apart) for each alternative, with minimal
digression into explaining each one -- you should search for details.
You can decide which arguments matter the most to you. My main goal is
to help you minimize regrets due to later learning about factors that
mattered to you, but you overlooked.
In general, as John Diamant observed: A lot of people start SS too
early, and adopt unnecessary longevity risk because they
underestimate life expectancy, or otherwise don't understand the complex
tradeoffs; or, they buy an annuity when they would be better off instead
deferring SS for whichever member of a couple has a higher benefit
pending.
Start ASAP (usually age 62)
-
Need:
You need the money to live on; or you want it so badly, say to retire
sooner or to help a relative or friend, that it feels like a
non-negotiable need.
-
Desire:
You want more gratification (purchasing, family support, or donation
power) now rather than later, even if you know it's not optimal in the
long run. Perhaps the extra money is worth more to you in the "go-go"
or "slow-go" phases of retirement than in the "no-go" final phase; or
to retire sooner (and get healthier), or even even to "un-retire" by
starting a business or a second career. Perhaps you like that you
have 12 months to change your mind, pay the money back, and resume
deferring. Or perhaps you have young kids who can also get some
benefits after you start yours.
-
Expiration:
You're "swirling the rim" or otherwise suspect you won't make it to
your break-even age (see
my analysis), and want to
maximize your lifetime payout (rather than your monthly benefit later
by deferring, see "longevity insurance" below).
-
Distrust:
You're worried that if/when the SS trust funds are depleted (mainly
due to an aging population resulting in fewer workers per
beneficiary), your benefits will be cut back, offsetting or erasing
the value of waiting. Or you believe that income tax rates
will rise in the future, so advancing your taxable income is overall
better.
-
Multiple benefits:
You're eligible for more than one benefit; in some cases, you should
start one type sooner, while deferring and switching later (at a
higher rate then) to another one. This can apply (within limits) to
survivors, and to people old enough for the file-and-suspend strategy
(deprecated later) with a higher-earning spouse who can defer and
whose later retirement benefit is more than 2x yours now.
-
Net worth / (re)investing:
You think it's better to forego SS payment increases later to get your
hands on the money sooner, even if you won't spend it immediately but
will invest your extra (net after taxes) income in a way that
skillfully or luckily outpaces SS discounts that are significant until
age 70. "Are you feeling lucky?" Or similarly, to prevent spending
down your existing assets as quickly, giving them more time to
(hopefully) grow until you need them (but see below about tax
optimization). It is true that adding any kind of extra income
sooner can increase your net worth (or spending level) for a long
time, perhaps decades, to the point where you don't care as much about
the very long run. See also
this nice analysis
on the breakeven math.
-
Legacy:
You don't "need" SS now, but you choose to start sooner anyway to
maximize your estate value to heirs or charities. This might
leave a larger estate than if you deferred longer while living off
other assets or income; see (re)investing above.
-
Simplicity:
The reasons above to "start sooner" are mostly simpler to understand
than the reasons below to "defer"; plus, having the decision already
made can reduce ongoing tension and uncertainty, and the income
stream can feel good, out of proportion to its simple dollar value.
But as usual, sometimes simplicity comes at a relatively high "premium
cost" (like tax inefficiency or reduced longevity insurance).
Defer Until Age FRA or 70
Some benefit types max out at your FRA (SS Full Retirement Age), while
basic retirement benefits grow if deferred until age 70.
-
Tax optimization:
You (or your spouse) are still working for high wages and/or you have
qualified retirement funds (such as traditional 401(k) or IRA) facing
large RMDs (Required Minimum Distributions) starting at age 72, 73, or
75 (depending on birth year). Then it's often better overall
(minimizing total lifetime tax due) to get taxable pay and/or take
taxable distributions/conversions now, rather than (either of you)
starting SS payments instead (which are up to 85% taxable), in order
to stay in the lowest average or maximum (spike years) of federal
(graduated/progressive) income tax brackets for the rest of your
live(s).
-
Longevity insurance:
You want to maximize your monthly payments for life (starting
later). Rather than buying "longevity insurance" in the form of an
SPDA (Single Payment Deferred Annuity), if you use the same money to
live on while deferring SS, you can view SS as a more valuable SPDA
(lower expense and risk), including a higher return for waiting
(higher discount rate for starting early), plus including COLA (Cost
Of Living Adjustments for inflation, which many annuities lack).
(COLA are especially important when high inflation is expected.) And
average life span is longer than most people guess.
-
Survivor benefit:
You want to maximize your (ex)spouse's monthly payments for
life (a kind of longevity insurance for them, not you). If
their PIA is lower than yours, your survivors do better the longer you
defer (up to age 70), also the longer they defer taking the survivor
benefit (up to FRA); many variables here. And average life span for
one member of a couple is longer than most people guess...
-
Still working:
You're still employed and exceed the SS earnings limit, so your early
(pre-FRA) benefits are reduced ("withheld"), and paid back later (if
you live that long). (But, improving your earnings history
=> higher AIME (Average Indexed Monthly Earnings) => PIA
(Primary Insurance Amount) is not a reason to defer, you'll get
the boost anyway, retroactive to January of the year of the
significant new earnings.)
-
SSiR: You continue to work until age 70 (or retire sooner, but
with a bridge method) as part of the
SSiR
(Spend Safely in Retirement) strategy, which I summarize as:
(1) delay SS, (2) plan RMDs using broad, low-cost funds, (3) budget
(project your spending details), (4) explore additional income if
needed, and (5) if you have more than enough savings, get creative.
-
ACA/Medicare premiums:
You (and/or your spouse) are on the ACA, receiving subsidies, which
would shrink or vanish, particularly by exceeding 250% or 400% of the
FPL (Federal Poverty Line); or, you're on Medicare and near or above
the Medicare IRMAA (Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount)
boundary. Either way, adding more "optional" taxable income like SS
to your MAGI (Modified Adjusted Gross Income) can hit you with hidden
"tax" in the form of higher insurance costs or premiums (for Medicare,
two years later).
-
HSA:
You're still working, with employer HDHP (High-Deductible Health Plan)
coverage and desirable HSA (Health Savings Account) contributions,
which are only allowed so long as you don't start Medicare, which is
automatic if you start SS at age 65+. (In rare cases, this is an
argument for even deferring SS past age 70!)
And what about some of each?
In principle, before age 62 you should pick the "right month to
start" for yourself, based on whatever are your personal criteria and
values. And then for as long as you are still deferring, if those
criteria and values change, be prepared to revise that and start sooner.
But in practice I observe a lot of people (who don't otherwise
start earlier, at age 62 or retirement before FRA) "binding themselves"
to their FRA, that is, settling on deferring until their SS-defined
FRA, then starting. Especially for SS retirement benefits, there's
nothing too special about your FRA. So long as you defer, your lifetime
monthly amount continues to rise (at a slightly different rate) until
age 70 (but retroactive claiming up to 6 months does become possible at
FRA). I understand how your FRA is a tangible external reference point
that can "feel right", and also simplify the start/defer decision (as
mentioned above as one reason not to defer).
DRC timing of starting benefits
If you defer past your FRA (full retirement age, 65-67, depends
on your birth year), and for any reason (choice or necessity) you
start retirement benefits before age 70, and you care and have a
choice, for best results (second-order optimization), apply (up to 4
months ahead) to begin in January (of the year you turn 67, 68, 69, or
70). Why? Because your DRC (delayed retirement credits) of 8%/year
(2/3%/month) between FRA and 70 are only applied at the start of each
year (unless you wait until age 70, then they're immediate).
Worst case: If you start in July, you permanently lose 6 months of
credits (accrued Jan-Jun) for the next 6 months of the year (Jul-Dec),
equivalent to 2% (6*6/12*2/3%) of your annual benefit. (Worst because,
for example if you start in June, you lose up to 5 months of DRC
depending on how long ago was your FRA, for 7 remaining months of the
year, or 35 (not 36) x 2/3%; in Feb (or Dec), you lose 1 DRC month for
11 months (or 11 for 1), etc.) Starting in January, if all goes well
you lose 0 for 0, because you get the full 12 credits (8%) for last
year, and are paid in full every month this year.
Good luck!
PS about calculator tool
You might want to check out
this open source tool
for playing with your benefits analysis. I've only glanced at it, but
others think it's great, and it does look snazzy.